Ellie Daniels vs Adriana Tkachenko Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• Second Serve Performance: Adriana Tkachenko has a recent second serve point win rate of 37.83%, slightly trailing Ellie Daniels who has 38.33%. Could this slight edge give Ellie the advantage? It might.
• Return Game Stats: Tkachenko dominates in return games, winning 51.12% of opponent's second serve points compared to Daniels' 44.80%. On first serve returns, Tkachenko continues to excel with 35.07% over Daniels' 25.78%. This return strength may be crucial.
• Under Pressure Analysis: Tkachenko saves 46.44% of breakpoints, surpassing Daniels’ 42.65%. Could this resilience under pressure be a deciding factor? It’s certainly a possibility.
• Performance Overview: Over the past year, Tkachenko has a 64.00% match win rate, while Daniels boasts a higher 75.00% win rate. Does this overall superiority in wins favor Daniels? It seems likely.
• Best Surface: Both players have their highest win rates on hard courts, each at 63%. Therefore, surface performance may not be a differentiating factor.
• Player Level: In Futures/Satellites/ITF tournaments $10K, both perform well, but Daniels edges out with a 75.00% win rate compared to Tkachenko’s 67.39%. Could Daniels' experience at this level give her a further edge? Possibly.
• Opponent Quality: **Tkachenko** has faced opponents with an average rank of 199.08, whereas **Daniels** has faced stronger competition with an average rank of 75.94. Facing tougher opponents may better prepare Daniels for this match.
• Deciding Set Performance: Tkachenko wins 64% of deciding sets, while Daniels wins 50%. If the match goes to the wire, Tkachenko might have the endurance and mental edge.

Editorial Prediction (October 15, 2025, UTC):

When analyzing the upcoming match between Adriana Tkachenko and Ellie Daniels, we find both strengths and weaknesses on either side. Daniels edges out Tkachenko in recent second serve performance, which could provide a slight advantage from the baseline.

However, with superior return game stats, Tkachenko may more effectively capitalize on Daniels' service games. Tkachenko's ability to save breakpoints and her higher success in deciding sets also paint her as a formidable opponent under pressure.

Daniels has a better recent performance rate overall and she has competed against higher-ranked opponents, which may have enhanced her resilience and tactical adaptations.

In conclusion, the match is poised to be a tight contest, but Ellie Daniels, given her superior overall win rate and experience against tougher opponents, is more likely to emerge victorious in this matchup.